The descending Arab Winter

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Israel evacuated its embassy building as Egyptian protesters tore down the gate and rushed into the embassy proper.  

The new government in Egypt appears unable to maintain law and order.  In my opinion this will likely snowball.  Look for armed militias to begin roaming the streets, first to maintain security.  Then, as certain militias gain power and notoriety, look for warlords to step to the front.

In Libya, raiders looted Gadaffi’s surface to air missile stores.  There are thousands missing, and with no air targets in Libya, it’s safe to say that al-Qaeda will get control of some of the SAMs and use them in other theaters.  Air travel, civilian and military, just got more dangerous in the Middle East, Africa, and Europe.


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